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For Private Circulation Only
Technical and Derivatives Review |July 17, 2023
Bulls continue to dominate; Nifty clocked new highs
Sensex (66061) / Nifty (19565)
Source: Tradingview.com
Future outlook
The Indian equity markets had a splendid move in the eventful week, wherein the benchmark index Nifty50 witnessed continuation
in the uptrend consecutively for the third week. The broad-based participation amidst the commencement of earning season
showcased the eagerness of the bulls to levitate the market. The Nifty50 index maintained its positive stature and clocked new highs
to settle the week at uncharted territory, procuring 1.20 percent of weekly gains.
The supportive moves among the global peers and the sectoral rotation were evident throughout the week, which certainly got
reflected in the price action of the benchmark index. From a technical aspect, the bulls are being resilient to let loose their grip even
in the overbought parameters which showcase their dominance. But at the same time, one should not become complacent and
overrule the possibility of a breather post the steep rally. As far as levels are concerned, 19400-19300 is likely to cushion any short-
term blip, while the sacrosanct support lies around the bullish gap of 19200 in the comparable period. On the flip side, as the index
entered uncharted territory there is no relevant hurdle; however, the next pitstop could be seen around 19650-19700 on an
immediate basis.
Going ahead, we remain sanguine with the current momentum and would advocate the traders to utilize the dips to add long
positions in the index. Also, we expect strong moves in the broader market amidst the quarterly earnings, so one needs to have a
stock-centric approach for better trading opportunities and also stay abreast with global and domestic developments.
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Technical and Derivatives Review |July 17, 2023
Sho
rt
Form
at
ion
Nifty settles at the highest point ever
Nifty spot closed at 19564.50 this week, against a close of 19331.80 last week. The Put-Call Ratio has increased from 0.89 to 1.34 on
Weekly basis. The annualized Cost of Carry is positive at 4.93%. The Open Interest of Nifty Futures increased by 3.84%.
Derivatives View
Nifty current month’s future closed with a premium of 34.35 against a premium of 66.70 points to its spot in the previous week.
Next month’s future is trading at a premium of 131 points.
It’s the third consecutive week of positive close for the Indian equity market wherein the Nifty conclude at the highest point ever at
19564.50. On the derivatives front, addition of fresh longs was seen in Nifty, whereas short covering was observed in banking index.
Stronger hands continue to pump in liquidity and covered shorts in index futures segment. For the coming weekly series, we
observed noteworthy writing in 10400-19500 puts which may act as support now. On the flip side, some fresh build-up was seen in
19650 and 19750 call strikes. Considering the above development, we maintain our optimistic stance on market and would advocate
using intraday declines to add fresh longs.
Scrip
OI
Futures
OI
Chg (%)
Price
Price
Chg(%)
POWERGRID 42036300 36.33 241.20 (6.11)
FEDERALBNK 162755000 35.61 129.40 (4.54)
ATUL 594150 34.36 6501.40 (2.96)
PIIND 2221750 31.02 3645.75 (3.48)
DEEPAKNTR 3185700 24.49 1941.00 (5.69)
Weekly change in OI
Long Formation
Scrip
OI
Futures
OI
Chg (%)
Price
Price
Chg(%)
INDIAMART 779400 48.88 2862.70 4.18
ESCORTS 1935450 27.75 2380.25 6.98
LTTS 1384200 25.31 4110.10 4.97
COLPAL 4145050 22.65 1842.70 3.91
COFORGE 651150 21.63 4945.50 4.98
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Technical and Derivatives Review |July 17, 2023
Sameet Chavan Head Research Technical & Derivatives sameet.chavan@angelone.in
Sneha Seth Senior Analyst – Technical & Derivatives sneha.seth@angelone.in
Rajesh Bhosale Analyst – Technical rajesh.bhosle@angelone.in
Osho Krishan Senior Analyst Technical & Derivatives osho.krishan@angelone.in
Hitesh Rathi Analyst – Technical & Derivatives hitesh.rathi@angelone.in
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357600 Website: www.angelone.in
For Technical Queries E-mail: technicalresearch-cso@angelone.in
For Derivative Queries E-mail: derivatives.desk@angelone.in
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Technical and Derivatives Review |July 17, 2023
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