Technical & Derivatives Report
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
After an extended weekend, our markets opened with a good
bump up on the back of favourable cues from the global bourses.
The banking too had a great start in tandem with benchmark to
surpass the immediate hurdle of 33500. During the remaining
part of the day, we witnessed a range bound action in most of the
banking counters, but the bias remained strongly bullish.
Eventually, the penultimate session of the financial year ended
with slightly less than two percent gains for the banking index.
In last couple of sessions, BANKNIFTY has come off its lows quite
swiftly after precisely testing the key support of ’89-EMA’ on daily
chart. Now it has reached its cluster of resistance and hence, it
would be interesting to see how it behaves here. As far as levels
are concerned, 34000 – 34400 are to be seen as immediate
hurdles; whereas yesterday’s lower range of 33600 – 33400
should act as intraday support. The real momentum would only
be seen outside this range and hence, traders should focus on
individual stocks till the time index remains in a consolidation
zone.
Key Levels
Support 1 – 33600 Resistance 1 – 34000
Support 2 – 33400 Resistance 2 – 34400
Sensex (50137) / Nifty (14845)
Post the extended weekend, our markets started the session on an
optimistic note with a gap up above 14600 mark. The momentum
continued throughout the day supported by participation from
index heavyweights and Nifty ended the session around 14850,
with gains of over a couple of percent.
The global markets traded with a positive bias which had a positive
impact on our markets at opening. We then witnessed a good
buying interest in the benchmark and some of the index
heavyweights which propelled the market higher. If we look at the
chart, we had seen a pullback from a ‘Rising Trendline’ support in
Nifty during last week. A follow up buying yesterday with a broad
market participation is certainly an encouraging sign and hints at a
probability of resumption of the broader uptrend. However, we are
now at an important juncture in the index at 14875-14900 and
15050 which are resistances on short term charts. The index needs
to surpass these with an authority which would then build a greater
confidence going ahead. Hence, taking one step at a time and
avoiding aggressive bets would be the advice for traders at these
levels. A lot of sector/stock specific momentum could clearly be
seen and hence, capitalizing on such ideas would be a better
approach to ride this momentum. As far as index levels are
concerned, 14700 would be seen as an immediate support while
14900 and 15050 are the resistances to watch out for.
Exhibit 2: Nifty Bank Daily Chart
A lot of sector specific movement was seen yesterday wherein the
IT, Pharma, Metals and FMCG pack saw good buying interest along
with the heavyweights HDFC twins. Traders are advised to look for
such thematic opportunities and trade with proper risk
management.
Key Levels
Support 1 – 14750 Resistance 1 – 14900
Support 2 – 14700 Resistance2 – 15050