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July 23, 2021
Technical & Derivatives Report
Nifty Bank Outlook
-
(3
4677
)
Post a mid-week holiday, Bank Nifty as well started on a
positive note however as compared to the benchmark index it
lacked follow-up buying and after an initial upmove, it slipped
lower to erase most of the opening gains. Bank Nifty
eventually ended with gains of 0.76% at 34677.
The recent underperformance in bank nifty continues and
yesterday again tentativeness was seen after approaching the
psychological levels of 35000 that coincides with 50SMA. We
continue to see a stiff hurdle around the 35000 mark for
today's session and then around the bearish gap left this week
around the 35350 levels. On the flip side, 34350 and 34170 is
the immediate support. We advise that until we see a clear
trending move, traders should refrain from banking space and
focus on broader markets that are giving outperforming
opportunities.
Key Levels
Support 1 – 34350 Resistance 1 – 35000
Support 2 – 34170 Resistance 2 – 35350
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
Exhibit 2: Nifty Bank Daily Chart
Sensex (52837) / Nifty (15824)
Our markets had corrected ahead of the mid-week holiday
owing to negative global cues. However, the global markets
recovered from their lows which led to a positive sentiment, and
hence we started yesterday’s session with a gap up. The
benchmark index traded with a positive bias throughout the day
and ended the weekly expiry session well above 15800, with
gains of almost 200 points.
This week, our market moves have been led by the cues from the
global peers and hence, relief in the global markets led to a
recovery in our markets too. Nifty reclaimed the 15800 level at
close and the midcap space witnessed good buying interest
throughout the day. The broader charts depicts that we are still
in a consolidation phase and have witnessed upmove from the
lower end of the trading range. Hence, it is prudent to focus on a
stock specific approach as there are better opportunities seen
there. Global cues could continue to drive our markets direction
in the near term and hence, traders should keep a close tab on
the same as we head towards the weekly close. The immediate
supports for Nifty are placed around 15760 and 15680 while
resistance is seen in the range of 15880-15960.
Key Levels
Support 1 – 15760 Resistance 1 – 15880
Support 2 – 15680 Resistance 2 – 15960
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Technical & Derivatives Report
July 23, 2021
Nifty Vs OI
15450
15500
15550
15600
15650
15700
15750
15800
15850
15900
15950
16000
92,000
94,000
96,000
98,000
100,000
102,000
104,000
106,000
108,000
110,000
7/1 7/5 7/7 7/9 7/13 7/15 7/19 7/22
(`000)
Openinterest Nifty
View
Post last two sessions pain, we finally had a cheerful
start with an upside gap above 15700. As we
progressed, the index inched higher to surpass 15800
mark and then consolidated for latter part of the day.
The benchmark index maintained its positive posture to
conclude the day with the gains of almost 200 points.
FIIs were net sellers in the cash segment to the tune of
Rs. 248 crores. In index futures front, they bought worth
Rs 1152 crores with fall in open interest indicating short
covering in yesterday’s session.
Yesterday, we saw a v-shaped recovery to reclaim 15700
mark on the closing basis. The F&O space, decent short
covering was visible in both the indices. The call writers
of 15700-15800 strikes ran for shelter seeing smart
recovery. Meanwhile, we also saw decent writing in
15700-15800 put strikes in the monthly series. Highest
open interest concentration for the monthly series is
now placed at 16000 call and 15500 put options. The
PCR-OI that was in the oversold territory is now back to
1 plus level. However, future contracts trading in
discount is not a very heahlty sign. At present, until we
manage to sustain above 15600 on the closing basis, we
would prefer trading with a positive bias and would
advise focusing on individual counters as they have
better trade set-ups.
Comments
The Nifty futures open interest has decreased by 5.73%.
Bank Nifty futures open interest has decreased by 9.01%
as market closed at 15824.05 levels.
The Nifty July future closed with a discount of 7.15 point
against a premium of 5.10 point in last trading session.
The August series closed at a premium of 35.65 point.
The INDIA VIX decreased from 13.20 to 11.89. At the
same time, the PCR-OI of Nifty increased from 0.81 to
1.10.
Few of the liquid counters where we have seen high cost
of carry are NMDC, IDEA, INDUSTOWER, ASHOKLEY and
JSWSTEEL.
OI Gainers
SCRIP OI
OI
CHG. (%)
PRICE
PRICE
CHG. (%)
JUBLFOOD 1923000 25.75 3429.95 11.44
ICICIPRULI 7596000 20.14 635.40 5.13
APOLLOHOSP 2420500 18.71 3985.30 2.71
IDEA 726740000 11.51 9.25 2.76
SAIL 179027500 10.59 126.15 2.84
HINDUNILVR 7131600 10.27 2378.15 -2.19
BAJAJ-AUTO 2443750 10.22 3853.20 -1.55
LALPATHLAB 478750 10.12 3332.95 -1.12
OI Losers
SCRIP OI
OI
CHG. (%)
PRICE
PRICE
CHG. (%)
HAVELLS 5366000 -25.20 1151.30 4.00
SBILIFE 3963000 -10.33 1026.00 1.08
ACC 4255000 -9.67 2290.15 -1.02
ASIANPAINT 4521900 -5.99 3106.40 -1.81
INFY 28611000 -5.99 1590.20 2.39
INDUSINDBK 15306300 -4.54 992.15 1.04
MARUTI 2328900 -3.68 7299.45 0.84
JINDALSTEL 40847500 -3.42 394.35 4.13
Put-Call Ratio
SCRIP PCR-OI PCR-VOL
NIFTY 1.10 0.91
BANKNIFTY 0.65 0.85
RELIANCE 0.43 0.35
ICICIBANK 0.53 0.49
INFY 0.49 0.45
Historical Volatility
SCRIP HV
JUBLFOOD 45.63
TECHM 38.65
MANAPPURAM 54.80
ICICIGI 41.63
HAVELLS 42.31
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Technical & Derivatives Report
July 23, 2021
Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (July Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation.
Nifty Spot = 15824.05
FII Statistics for July 22, 2021
Detail Buy
Net Contracts
Open Interest
Sell
Value
(in Cr.)
Change
INDEX
FUTURES
5295.28 4142.86 1152.42
135241 11012.72 (5.28)
INDEX
OPTIONS
766827.04 771266.13 (4439.09) 904454 73015.06 (34.68)
STOCK
FUTURES
17658.83 16161.89 1496.94
1418483 113194.84 0.74
STOCK
OPTIONS
24590.30 24207.60 382.70
303531 24748.34 (1.02)
Total 814371.45
815778.48
(1407.03) 2761709
221970.96
(14.82)
Turnover on July 22, 2021
Instru
ment
No. of
Contracts
Turnover
( in Cr. )
Change
(%)
Index
Futures
3,34,947 27807.33 -9.73
Index
Options
10,34,38,366
97,39,836.59
81.97
Stock
Futures
9,69,348 79577.64 18.66
Stock
Options
33,64,002 2,82,518.02 10.76
Total 10,81,06,663
1,01,29,739.5
8
77.54
Bull-Call Spreads
Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP
Buy 15800 97.10
47.15 52.85 15847.15
Sell 15900 49.95
Buy 15800 97.10
75.20 124.80 15875.20
Sell 16000 21.90
Buy 15900 49.95
28.05 71.95 15928.05
Sell 16000 21.90
Bear-Put Spreads
Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP
Buy 15800 97.10
52.65 47.35 15747.35
Sell 15700 44.45
Buy 15800 97.10
72.10 127.90 15727.90
Sell 15600 25.00
Buy 15700 44.45
19.45 80.55 15680.55
Sell 15600 25.00
Nifty Put-Call Analysis
,0
500,000
1000,000
1500,000
2000,000
2500,000
3000,000
3500,000
4000,000
4500,000
5000,000
15000 15100 15200 15300 15400 15500 15600 15700 15800 15900 16000 16100 16200 16300
Call Put
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Technical & Derivatives Report
July 23, 2021
Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty Constituents
Scrips
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
ADANIPORTS
656
674
685
702
713
ASIANPAINT 3,046 3,076
3,121
3,151
3,196
AXISBANK
731
739
749
757
766
BAJAJ-AUTO 3,651 3,752
3,883
3,984
4,115
BAJFINANCE 5,797 5,996
6,120
6,319
6,443
BAJAJFINSV 12,022
12,543
12,822
13,343
13,622
BPCL
448
455
459
466
470
BHARTIARTL
515
531
539
555
564
BRITANNIA 3,395 3,410
3,430
3,445
3,464
CIPLA
940
945
952
957
964
COALINDIA
142
144
144
146
147
DIVISLAB 4,736 4,790
4,823
4,877
4,910
DRREDDY 5,301 5,343
5,368
5,410
5,436
EICHERMOT 2,502 2,531
2,558
2,587
2,614
GRASIM 1,559 1,570
1,585
1,597
1,611
HCLTECH
965
972
977
983
988
HDFCBANK 1,431 1,440
1,454
1,463
1,478
HDFCLIFE
656
659
664
667
673
HDFC 2,455 2,473
2,483
2,500
2,511
HEROMOTOCO 2,790 2,814
2,830
2,855
2,871
HINDALCO
386
390
393
396
399
HINDUNILVR 2,288 2,333
2,421
2,466
2,553
ICICIBANK
643
649
655
661
667
IOC
105
106
106
107
108
INDUSINDBK
978
985
995
1,003
1,013
INFY 1,550 1,570
1,581
1,602
1,613
ITC
205
206
207
208
209
JSW STEEL
676
696
709
730
743
KOTAKBANK 1,692 1,700
1,711
1,718
1,730
LT 1,571 1,607
1,627
1,662
1,683
M&M
749
754
760
765
772
MARUTI 7,212 7,256
7,290
7,334
7,369
NESTLEIND 17,567
17,781
17,914
18,128
18,260
NTPC
118
119
119
120
120
ONGC
113
114
115
116
117
POWERGRID
226
230
232
236
238
RELIANCE 2,089 2,105
2,114
2,130
2,140
SBILIFE 1,005 1,016
1,027
1,038
1,049
SHREECEM 27,763
27,921
28,074
28,233
28,385
SBIN
417
420
423
426
429
SUNPHARMA
671
679
684
692
696
TCS 3,175 3,196
3,210
3,231
3,245
TATACONSUM
751
758
762
768
773
TATAMOTORS
297
300
304
306
310
TATASTEEL 1,236 1,255
1,266
1,285
1,296
TECHM 1,055 1,102
1,127
1,174
1,200
TITAN 1,667 1,684
1,700
1,717
1,732
ULTRACEMCO 7,175 7,317
7,432
7,574
7,688
UPL
811
820
825
833
838
WIPRO
566
575
580
589
594
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Technical & Derivatives Report
July 23, 2021
*
Research Team Tel: 022 – 39357600 (Extn. 6844) Website: www.angelbroking.com
For Technical Queries E-mail: technicalresearch-cso@angelbroking.com
For Derivatives Queries E-mail: derivatives.d[email protected]
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Technical and Derivatives Team:
Sameet Chavan Chief Analyst - Technical & Derivatives sameet.chavan@angelbroking.com
Ruchit Jain Senior Analyst - Technical & Derivatives ruchit.jain@angelbroking.com
Rajesh Bhosale Technical Analyst rajesh.bhosle@angelbroking.com
Sneha Seth Derivatives Analyst sneha.seth@angelbroking.com