Technical & Derivatives Report
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
The banking index opened flat yesterday and after some initial
indecisive swings, started moving northwards. In the first hour itself,
the sharp uptick in the banking space pushed it higher towards
35400, nearly 500 points higher from the initial low. It was well
poised for a pleasant day yesterday but all of a sudden post the mid-
session, the market took a nosedive and banking being the high beta
space, was off nearly 700 points from day high before any could
realise it. Since there was no major recovery seen in the remaining
part of the day, the BANKNIFTY ended with eight tenths of a percent
loss.
The financial space has been the weakest link of late and if we talk
about levels, 35500 – 36000 has been acting as a sturdy wall. It made
several attempts to go beyond it but every time it reaches closer to it,
some sort supply tends to come. Finally, this failure resulted in a
sharp decline as we saw BANKNIFTY closing below 35000 after 10
trading sessions. With yesterday’s move, it has challenged it’s ’20-day
EMA’ level of 34600 and if it sustains below it in the forthcoming
session, we may see this profit booking move extending towards
34200 – 34000. On the flipside, 35000 – 35200 are to be seen as
immediate resistances. Traders are advised to stay light and should
avoid aggressive longs till the time we do not surpass 36000
convincingly.
Key Levels
Support 1 – 34600 Resistance 1 – 35000
Support 2 – 34200 Resistance 2 – 35200
Exhibit 2: Nifty Bank Daily Chart
With spike in intraday volatility, it could be difficult for day traders to
gauge the direction on the weekly expiry day and hence one should
avoid aggressive positions. The immediate support for Nifty is placed
in the range of 15500-15450 while resistances will be seen around
15700 and 15800.
Key Levels
Support 1 – 15500 Resistance 1 – 15700
Support 2 – 15450 Resistance 2 – 15800
Sensex (51942) / Nifty (15635)
Nifty started the session marginally positive and inched higher towards
the 15800 mark around noon. The market breadth was positive and just
when it looked that the index is geared to surpass that hurdle, it took a
U-turn and declined sharply. Before anyone could realize, Nifty
corrected almost 200 points from the high and then even entered sub-
15600 level. With a mild recovery from intraday low, Nifty ended the
day with a loss of over 100 points at 15635.
The markets looked quite firm till noon, as the breadth was firmly
positive with a broad market participation. However, it witnessed some
shakeout post mid-session as some profit booking led to a sharp
decline from the highs. In our recent market outlook, we have been
mentioning about the importance of the resistance zone of 15770-
15800 for Nifty as it is the 127% retracement of the recent corrective
phase. Market have rallied one way in last three weeks and hence, some
profit booking around such important resistances are generally
encountered. Also, recently the hourly ‘20 EMA’ was acting as a support
on intraday declines in Nifty and the prices breached that support and
ended below it yesterday. However, this should not be taken a sign of
any trend reversal and it should be read just a correction within an