Initiating Coverage | Internet Software & Services
April 20, 2018
Matrimony.com Ltd
BUY
A complete package from matchmaking to wedding
CMP
`781
Target Price
`984
Incorporated in 2001, Matrimony.com Ltd (MCL) is engaged in providing
Investment Period
12 Month
online matchmaking and marriage services through internet and mobile
platforms in India and internationally. Currently, MCL has a database
comprising of 3.3 million active profiles (as of December 31, 2017) and 140
Stock Info
retail centers distributed across India. Its flagship brand, BharatMatrimony,
Sector
Internet Software & Services
has 15 language based domains under its umbrella.
Market Cap (` cr)
1,774
Net Debt (` cr)
10
Huge untapped market opportunity: Unmarried population in CY2016 was
Beta
0.3
107mn, out of which active seekers were 63mn. However, active users of the
52 Week High / Low
1025/703
Avg. Daily Volume
251
online matrimony segment were only 6mn in CY2016, according to KPMG
Face Value (`)
5
report. Currently, MCL has 3.08mn active profiles on Matrimony.com. Hence,
BSE Sensex
34,427
N ifty
10,565
there is a huge untapped market opportunity for the company.
Reuters Code
NA
Leading provider of online matchmaking services in India: According to the
Bloomberg Code
MATRIM IN
comScore Report for June 2017, Matrimony.com is the leader for online
matchmaking services in India in terms of the average number of website
Shareholding Pattern (%)
Prom oters
50.6
pages viewed by unique visitors, time spent and total pages viewed mainly
MF / Banks / Indian Fls
24.1
due to the company’s large database of profiles.
FII / NRIs / OCBs
22.4
Indian Public / Others
2.9
Strong consumer brand recall: Matrimony.com has high degree of brand
recall and trust in India, as evidenced by the average number of website
Abs.(%)
3m
1yr
3yr
pages viewed by unique visitors in June
2017 (comScore Report).
Sensex
(3.1)
17.4
23.5
BharatMatrimony.com has been ranked as India’s most trusted online
MCL
(13.7)
NA
NA
matrimony brand by The Brand Trust Report India Study 2014. MCL spends
17-18% (% of sales) on ad spends every year.
3-year price chart
Foray into marriage services: MCL’s key strategy for driving monetization is to
increase the length of relationship with customers and increase the amount of
1000
revenue earned from customers by offering additional wedding related
950
services such as photography & videography, wedding apparel, venue, stage
900
decorations, make-up, catering and honeymoon packages from various
850
vendors to meet customers’ wedding needs.
800
Outlook & Valuation: We expect MCL to report net revenue CAGR of ~15%
750
to
~`450cr over FY2018-20E mainly due to strong growth in online
700
matchmaking and marriage related services coupled by its strong brand
recall and large user database. On the bottom-line front, we expect CAGR of
~28% to `82cr over the same period on the back of margin improvement
Source: Company, Angel Research
(due to strong operating leverage & reduction in losses of marriage service
business). We initiate coverage on the stock with a Buy recommendation and
target price of `984 based on 27x FY20E EPS, indicating an upside of ~26%
from the current levels.
Key financials
Y/E March (` cr)
FY2017
FY2018E
FY2019E
FY2020E
Amarjeet S Maurya
Net sales
293
337
389
450
022-39357800 Ext: 6831
% chg
14.9
15.2
15.3
15.6
[email protected]
Net profit
48
50
68
82
% chg
-
3.6
37.2
20.3
EBITDA margin (%)
18.7
23.0
24.6
25.3
EPS (`)
21.3
22.1
30.3
36.4
P/E (x)
36.7
35.4
25.8
21.4
P/BV (x)
-
11.9
8.1
5.9
RoE (%)
-
33.5
31.5
27.5
RoCE (%)
330.8
44.7
38.6
33.6
EV/Sales (x)
6.0
4.7
4.0
3.3
EV/EBITDA (x)
32.0
20.6
16.4
13.1
Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: CMP as of April 19, 2018
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report
1
Matrimony.com Ltd| Initiating Coverage
Key investment arguments
Huge untapped market opportunity
Unmarried population in CY2016 was 107mn, out of which active seekers were
63mn. However, active users of the online matrimony segment were only 6mn in
CY2016, according to KPMG report. Currently, MCL has 3.08mn active profiles on
Matrimony.com. Hence, there is a huge untapped market opportunity for the
company.
Exhibit 1: Matrimony Industry India
Source: Company, Angel Research
April 20, 2018
2
Matrimony.com Ltd| Initiating Coverage
Leading provider of online matchmaking services in India
According to the comScore Report for June 2017, Matrimony.com is the leader for
online matchmaking services in India in terms of the average number of website
pages viewed by unique visitors (Matrimony.com
9,91,000, Shaadi.com
-
4,20,000, Jeevansathi.com-3,48,000), time spend (Matrimony.com - 149mn
minutes, Shaadi.com - 26mn minutes mn, Jeevansathi.com - 33mn minutes) and
total pages viewed (Matrimony.com
-
459mn, Shaadi.com
-
46mn,
Jeevansathi.com -48mn) mainly due to the company’s large database of profiles.
Exhibit 2: Matrimony.com has strong online visibility
Source: Company, Angel Research
Foray into marriage services
Marriage Services Industry is estimated to be `3,681bn offering an opportunity for
an organized player like Matrimony.com Ltd. to cater to this fragmented market.
MCL’s key strategy for driving monetization is to increase the length of relationship
with customers and increase the amount of revenue earned from customers. It has
extended its matchmaking services by offering additional marriage services to the
existing online matchmaking user base like photography & videography, wedding
apparel, venue, stage decorations, make-up, catering and honeymoon packages
from various vendors to meet customers’ wedding needs.
Exhibit 3: Estimated % spends on marriage services
Exhibit 4: Marriage related services picking-up
Catering
20
17.5
Decoration
Venue
15
3%3%2%
Honeymoon
5%
4%
24%
12.1
7%
Entertainment
10.8
Accomodation
10
7%
Wedding Planner
7.4
16%
8%
Gifts
5.1
9%
5
12%
Photography
Bridal Make-up
Local Transportation
0
Invitation Cards
FY2014
FY2015
FY2016
FY2017
9MFY18
Source: Company, Angel Research
Source: Company, Angel Research
April 20, 2018
3
Matrimony.com Ltd| Initiating Coverage
Strong consumer brand with 140 retail centers
Matrimony.com’s high degree of brand recall and trust in India, is evidenced by
the average number of website pages viewed by unique visitors in June 2017
(comScore Report). BharatMatrimony.com has been ranked as India’s most trusted
online matrimony brand by The Brand Trust Report India Study 2014. Further,
Matrimony has 140 retail centers distributed across India where potential or
existing customers can walk in and seek the assistance of retail executives to
register on websites and/or make payment for the matchmaking product or service
of their choice.
Exhibit 5: Strong brand recall
Source: Company, Angel Research
April 20, 2018
4
Matrimony.com Ltd| Initiating Coverage
Outlook and Valuation
We expect MCL to report net revenue CAGR of ~15% to ~`450cr over FY2018-
20E mainly due to strong growth in core online matchmaking services coupled with
its strong brand recall and large user database. Further, MCL has also started
other marriage related services which will boost the additional revenues of the
company. On the bottom-line front, we expect a CAGR of ~28% to `82cr over the
same period on the back of margin improvement (due to strong operating
leverage & reduction in losses of marriage service business). At the current market
price of `781, the stock trades at PE of 21.4x its FY2020E EPS of `36.4. We initiate
coverage on the stock with a Buy recommendation and target price of `984 based
on 27x FY20E EPS, indicating an upside of ~26% from the current levels.
Downside risks to our estimates
Any increase in competition from online and offline companies could
impact the MCL’s earnings.
If MCL is unable to keep pace with changing technology, evolving industry
standards and does not develop new products for business, its profitability
could be impacted.
The company is dependent on telecommunications and information
technology systems, networks and infrastructure to operate its business.
Any interruption or breakdown in such systems, networks or infrastructure
or its technical systems could impair MCL’s products and services.
April 20, 2018
5
Matrimony.com Ltd| Initiating Coverage
Company Background
Incorporated in
2001, Matrimony.com is engaged in providing online
matchmaking and marriage services. They offer their services through Internet and
mobile platforms in India and internationally.
MCL is one of the first companies to provide online matchmaking services in India,
having database comprising of 3.08 million active profiles (being profiles that
have been published or logged in at least once during the prior 180 day period).
They offer a range of targeted and customized products and services that are
tailored to meet the specific requirements of customers based on their religious or
caste preferences or other criteria such as marital status and age bracket.
Currently, they have 140 retail centers distributed across India where customers
can walk in and register on their websites. Its flagship brand, BharatMatrimony,
has 15 language based domains under its umbrella. They also have other portals
like
EliteMatrimony,
CommunityMatrimony,
MatrimonyDirectory,
MatrimonyPhotography,
MatrimonyBazaar,
MatrimonyDirectory
and
MatrimonyMandaps.
Exhibit 6: Revenue - break up for 9MFY2018
5.3%
94.7%
Match making services
Marriage services
Source: Company, Angel Research
April 20, 2018
6
Matrimony.com Ltd| Initiating Coverage
Consolidated Profit & Loss Statement
Y/E March (` cr)
FY2016
FY2017
FY2018E
FY2019E
FY2020E
Total operating income
255
293
337
389
450
% chg
5.6
14.9
15.2
15.3
15.6
Total Expenditure
322
238
260
293
336
Employee
125
117
128
148
171
Selling & Administrative Expenses
54
52
57
59
65
Others Expenses
143
69
75
86
100
EBITDA
(67)
55
78
96
114
% chg
-
-
41.9
23.3
18.9
(% of Net Sales)
(26.4)
18.7
23.0
24.6
25.3
Depreciation& Amortisation
10
10
10
11
12
EBIT
(77)
44
67
85
101
% chg
-
-
52.0
25.5
20.0
(% of Net Sales)
(30.2)
15.1
20.0
21.7
22.6
Interest & other Charges
3
4
2
1
1
Other Income
5
4
13
2
2
(% of PBT)
(6.4)
8.9
16.6
2.3
1.9
Share in profit of Associates
-
-
-
-
-
Recurring PBT
(75)
44
78
86
103
% chg
-
-
79.0
9.2
20.3
Tax
-
0
16
17
21
(% of PBT)
-
0.0
20.0
20.0
20.0
PAT (reported)
(75)
44
63
68
82
Minority Interest (after tax)
0
-
-
-
-
Profit/Loss of Associate Company
-
-
-
-
-
Extraordinary Items
(74)
(4)
13
-
-
ADJ. PAT
(1)
48
50
68
82
% chg
-
-
3.6
37.2
20.3
(% of Net Sales)
(0.5)
16.4
14.8
17.6
18.3
Basic & Fully Diluted EPS (`)
(0.6)
21.3
22.1
30.3
36.4
% chg
-
-
3.6
37.2
20.3
April 20, 2018
7
Matrimony.com Ltd| Initiating Coverage
Consolidated Balance Sheet
Y/E March (` cr)
FY2016
FY2017
FY2018E
FY2019E
FY2020E
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Equity Share Capital
9
11
11
11
11
Reserves& Surplus
(85)
(42)
137
206
288
Shareholders Funds
(76)
(31)
149
217
300
Minority Interest
0
-
-
-
-
Total Loans
49
45
2
2
2
Deferred Tax Liability
23
2
2
2
2
Total Liabilities
(5)
16
153
221
304
APPLICATION OF FUNDS
Gross Block
63
24
34
77
87
Less: Acc. Depreciation
34
-
10
21
34
Net Block
28
24
24
56
54
Capital Work-in-Progress
-
-
-
-
-
Investments
-
-
-
-
-
Current Assets
95
95
263
311
412
Inventories
-
-
-
-
-
Sundry Debtors
2
2
23
27
31
Cash
58
58
169
195
273
Loans & Advances
24
16
20
31
40
Other Assets
11
19
51
58
67
Current liabilities
128
104
134
146
162
Net Current Assets
(33)
(9)
129
166
250
Deferred Tax Asset
-
-
-
-
-
Mis. Exp. not written off
-
-
-
-
-
Total Assets
(5)
16
153
221
304
Source: Company, Angel Research
April 20, 2018
8
Matrimony.com Ltd| Initiating Coverage
Consolidated Cashflow Statement
Y/E March (` cr)
FY2016
FY2017
FY2018E FY2019E FY2020E
Profit before tax
(1)
48
78
86
103
Depreciation
10
10
10
11
12
Change in Working Capital
13
(9)
(27)
(11)
(7)
Interest / Dividend (Net)
(1)
1
0
0
0
Direct taxes paid
(1)
(2)
(16)
(17)
(21)
Others
(27)
(34)
0
0
0
Cash Flow from Operations
(8)
14
46
69
88
(Inc.)/ Dec. in Fixed Assets
(10)
(10)
(10)
(43)
(10)
(Inc.)/ Dec. in Investments
11
11
0
0
0
Cash Flow from Investing
1
1
(10)
(43)
(10)
Issue of Equity
0
1
130
0
0
Inc./(Dec.) in loans
21
0
(43)
0
0
Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax)
0
0
0
0
0
Interest / Dividend (Net)
(3)
(9)
15
0
0
Cash Flow from Financing
18
(8)
103
0
0
Inc./(Dec.) in Cash
12
7
139
26
78
Opening Cash balances
11
23
30
169
195
Closing Cash balances
23
30
169
195
273
April 20, 2018
9
Matrimony.com Ltd| Initiating Coverage
Key ratios
Valuation Ratio (x)
FY2016
FY2017
FY2018E FY2019E FY2020E
P/E (on FDEPS)
-
36.7
35.4
25.8
21.4
P/CEPS
-
32.6
24.2
22.2
18.6
P/BV
-
(56.7)
11.9
8.1
5.9
EV/Sales
6.9
6.0
4.7
4.0
3.3
EV/EBITDA
-
32.0
20.6
16.4
13.1
EV / Total Assets
-
112.3
10.4
7.1
4.9
Per Share Data (Rs)
EPS (Basic)
-
21.3
22.1
30.3
36.4
EPS (fully diluted)
-
21.3
22.1
30.3
36.4
Cash EPS
-
24.0
32.3
35.2
41.9
Book Value
-
-
65.8
96.1
132.5
Returns (%)
ROCE
280.8
330.8
44.7
38.6
33.6
Angel ROIC (Pre-tax)
89.7
-
-
349.2
357.4
ROE
1.7
-
33.5
31.5
27.5
Turnover ratios (x)
Asset Turnover (Gross Block)
4.1
12.1
9.9
5.0
5.2
Inventory / Sales (days)
-
-
-
-
-
Receivables (days)
3
3
25
25
25
Payables (days)
58
22
20
20
18
Working capital cycle (ex-cash) (days)
(55)
(19)
5
5
7
April 20, 2018
10
Matrimony.com Ltd| Initiating Coverage
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800
E-mail: [email protected]
Website: www.angelbroking.com
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registered entity with SEBI for Research Analyst in terms of SEBI (Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014 vide registration number
INH000000164. Angel or its associates has not been debarred/ suspended by SEBI or any other regulatory authority for accessing
/dealing in securities Market. Angel or its associates/analyst has not received any compensation / managed or co-managed public
offering of securities of the company covered by Analyst during the past twelve months.
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should
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Disclosure of Interest Statement
Matrimony.com
1. Financial interest of research analyst or Angel or his Associate or his relative
No
2. Ownership of 1% or more of the stock by research analyst or Angel or associates or relatives
No
3. Served as an officer, director or employee of the company covered under Research
No
4. Broking relationship with company covered under Research
No
Ratings (Based on expected returns
Buy (> 15%)
Accumulate (5% to 15%)
Neutral (-5 to 5%)
over 12 months investment period):
Reduce (-5% to -15%)
Sell (< -15)
April 20, 2018
11