Angel Top Picks - August 2017
While the markets have seen 21% returns in CY17, returns in dollar terms are even
Top Picks
higher at 29%. We belive that current econmic enviornment is positive for domestic
Company
CMP (`)
TP (`)
and foreign inflows. The big picture is that global economy is in healthy shape and
Banking/NBFC
in anticipation of faster growth, global markets have seen re-rating.
Dewan Housing
449
550
Karur Vysa Bank
137
160
Current economic environment positive for inflows: As expected by the markets,
Consumption
RBI has cut the repo rates by 25bps in the August monetary policy. With the current
Asian Granito
408
493
inflation trajectory and normal rainfall for 2nd consecutive year, we believe there is
Blue Star
683
760
further scope for RBI to cut the rates; however it also depends upon a few factors
Siyaram Silk Mills
2,024
2,500
out of RBI’s reach. We have already seen saving rates being slashed by 25bps
Media/Automobiles
proactively and due to continued pressure on deposit rates, incremental household
Maruti Suzuki
7,756
8,544
savings will flow in the equity markets through Mutual funds.
Music Broadcast
350
434
FII’s have continued to pour money: After the record inflow of `31,000cr in March-
TV Today
235
344
2017, FII have continued to remain positive on our economy with sustained
Real Estate/Infra/Logistics/Power
inflows. While Indian markets are up 21% in the current calendar year, in dollar
KEI Industries
225
258
terms the returns are even better at 29%. The rupee and other major global
Mahindra Lifespace
421
522
currencies have continued to strengthen against USD which will help in bringing
Navkar Corp.
188
265
more inflows in the emerging markets. We believe that liquidity is likely to remain
Pharma
plenty going ahead in the markets. The current quarterly results have also been
Alkem Lab.
1,840
2,161
decent and not showing severe impact of the GST which is also likely to be taken
Source: Angel Research;
positively by the investors. Also with GDP growth of >7%, FIIs would be willing to
Note: CMP as of August 08, 2017
invest more in India which also makes India’s case strong to get the inflows.
Improving tax collection to maintain fiscal prudence: The government has set a
fiscal deficit target of 3.2% for FY18E which is achievable given the strong tax
collection in the current fiscal. The advance tax collection (personal) grew by 42%
yoy in August-17 while overall income tax (personal and corporate) grew by 25%
yoy. The 25% yoy increase in the tax payers hints at widening of tax base which is
a long term positive for our economy as this can boost the public capex.
Valuations high but not expensive - Indian markets are currently valued 23.0x of
its FY17 earnings and 18.3x of its 1 year forward earnings. While this valuation is
at 7% premium to its 10 year average of 17.2x, it should be noted that major
global markets have also seen re-rating. One must look at the big picture globally
- the global economy looks in a healthy shape with US economy in nearly full
employment stage and GDP growth at ~2%, European economy is also recovering
from the crisis period and the same is reflected in 1QCY17 and 2QCY17 GDP
growth of 0.5% and 0.6% respectively. While growth in China has stabilized at the
rate of above 6%; the manufacturing and service sectors across multiple countries
are showing expansion. Overall on the hope of the faster growth, global markets
have seen re-rating. Indian economy with stable government, continued reforms
and favorable demographics, is likely to see faster growth going ahead and hence
valuation at the current rate looks justified to us.
We continue to remain positive on consumption (Maruti Suzuki, Asian Granito Blue
Star) and housing theme (Mahindra Lifespace and Dewan Housing). We also
remain positive on Karur Vysa Bank, Alkem laboratories, Navkar Corp, KEI
Industries and Siyaram Silk Mills. We add Music Broadcast in the portfolio on the
back of its attractive business model.
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report
1
Top Picks Report | August 2017
Top Picks
August 8, 2017
2
Top Picks Report | August 2017
Stock Info
Dewan Housing
CMP
449
Loan growth to remain strong going ahead: Backed by healthy capital
TP
550
adequacy and increasing demand for home loans DHFL’s loan book is
Upside
22.5%
expected to report 23% loan growth over next two three years.
Sector
Financials
Strong Capital adequacy lends visibility for growth: DHFL sold 50% stake held
Market Cap (` cr)
14,072
by it in DFHFL Pramerica Life Insurance Co Ltd which added `1,969 cr to its
Beta
1.9
net worth and increases its CAR by 400 bps, to 19.3% which should fuel
52 Week High / Low
478 / 214
growth for next 2-3 years.
Asset quality has been strong: Strong NIM on the back of lower cost of funds
3 year-Chart
and lower credit cost will ensure healthy return ratios for the company. Despite
600
strong growth the company has maintained stable asset quality and we expect
the trend to continue.
500
Outlook: We expect the company’s loan growth to remain 23% over next two
400
years and earnings growth is likely to be more than 28%.The stock currently
300
trades at 1.5x FY2018E ABV. We maintain Buy on the stock, with a target price
200
of `550.
100
Key Financials
-
Y/E
Op. Inc NIM
PAT
EPS
ABV ROA ROE P/E P/ABV
March
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
(`)
(%)
(%)
(x)
(x)
FY2018E
2,279
2.4
1,171
37.4
268
1.3
13.8
12.2
1.7
Source: Company, Angel Research
FY2019E
2,927
2.7
1,556
49.7
305
1.5
16.2
9.2
1.5
Source: Company, Angel Research
Stock Info
Karur Vysa Bank
CMP
137
Loan growth to pick up from FY18 onwards: KVB had a fairly strong loan
TP
160
CAGR of 14.9% over FY11-17.However, FY17 was year of consolidation and
Upside
16.8%
loan book grew by only 4.7%. We expect loan growth to pick up to 11% over
Sector
Banking
FY17-19. Deposit growth is expected at 9% during the period.
Market Cap (` cr)
8,256
Asset quality likely to stabilize going ahead: KVB’s slippages remained high
during FY17 and hence GNPAs % went up to 3.58% vs 1.3%. However, large
Beta
1.4
part of the troubled accounts has been classified as NPAs and hence gradually
52 Week High / Low
153 / 80
we expect the asset quality to improve. While in Q1FY18 we saw some
pressure on asset quality, it still remained fairly under control.
3 year-Chart
NIM likely to see further improvement: There were 25 bps improvements in
160
NIM during FY17, with share of CASA growing and cost of fund coming down
140
NIM is expected to improve further going ahead.
120
100
Outlook: We expect KVB to post a strong loan book & earnings CAGR of 11%
80
& 22% over FY2017-19E. The stock currently trades at 1.6x FY2019E ABV. We
60
have a BUY rating on the stock, with a target price of `160.
40
20
Key Financials
-
Y/E
Op. Inc NIM
PAT
EPS
ABV ROA ROE P/E P/ABV
March
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
(`)
(%)
(%)
(x)
(x)
FY2018E
3,289
3.7
660
10.8
75.0
1.0
12.5
12.9
1.8
Source: Company, Angel Research
FY2019E
3,630
3.9
858
14.1
85.7
1.2
14.7
9.9
1.6
Source: Company, Angel Research
August 8, 2017
3
Top Picks Report | August 2017
Asian Granito
Stock Info
CMP
420
AGIL’s current, vitrified sales (35%) are lower as compared to its peers like
Somany Ceramics (47%) and Kajaria Ceramics (61%). Recently, AGIL has
TP
493
launched various products in premium segment. Going forward, we expect
Upside
20.8%
AGIL’s profit margin to improve due to increase in focus for higher vitrified
Sector
Cons. Durable
product sales, which is a high margin business.
Market Cap (` cr)
1,264
AGIL is continuously putting efforts to increase the B2C sales from the current
Beta
1.9
level (35-36% in FY17). It is expected to reach up to 50% in next 2-3 years on
52 Week High / Low
470 / 175
the back of various initiatives taken by AGIL to increase direct interaction with
customers like strengthening distribution network, participation in key trade
exhibition, etc.
3 year-Chart
In July FY2016, AGIL acquired Artistique Ceramic which has a better margin
500
profile. Going forward, we expect the company to improve its operating
450
400
margin from 7.5% in FY16 (excluding merger) to
12-12.5% in coming
350
financial year. Artisique Ceramics has a contract with RAS GAS to supply
300
quality natural gas at a discounted rate of 50% to current market rate, which
250
200
would reduce the overall power & fuel cost of the company.
150
We expect AGIL to report a net revenue CAGR of ~8.5% to ~`1,286cr and
100
50
net profit CAGR of ~23% to `59cr over FY2017-19E. We recommend a Buy
-
rating on the stock.
Key Financials
Y/E
Sales OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/Sales
Source: Company, Angel Research
March
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2018E
1,169
12.5
48
16.0
10.7
26.3
2.8
10.5
1.3
FY2019E
1,286
12.5
59
19.7
10.7
21.3
2.5
9.3
1.2
Source: Company, Angel Research
Blue Star
Stock Info
BSL is one of the largest air-conditioning companies in India. With a mere
CMP
683
3% penetration level of ACs vs 25% in China, the overall outlook for the room
TP
760
air-conditioner (RAC) market in India is favourable.
Upside
11.3%
BSL’s RAC business has been outgrowing the industry by ~10% points over the
Sector
Cons. Durable
last few quarters, resulting in the company consistently increasing its market
Market Cap (` cr)
6,543
share (~7% in FY2014 to 10.5% at present). This has resulted in the Cooling
Products Division (CPD)'s share in overall revenues increasing from~23% in
Beta
0.8
FY2010 to ~42% in FY2016 (expected to improve to ~47% in FY2018E). With
52 Week High / Low
724 / 435
strong brand equity and higher share in split ACs, we expect the CPD to
continue to drive growth.
3 year-Chart
Aided by increasing contribution from the CPD, we expect the overall top-line
800
to post a revenue CAGR of ~16% over FY2016-18E and margins to improve
700
from 5.3% in FY2015 to 7.3% in FY2018E. We recommend an accumulate
600
rating on the stock.
500
Key Financials
400
300
Y/E
Sales OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/Sales
200
March
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
100
FY2017
4,283
5.9
141
14.9
20.4
41.3
8.2
25.3
1.4
-
FY2018E
5,077
7.3
211
22.1
26.4
28.1
6.9
18.9
1.2
Source: Company, Angel Research
Source: Company, Angel Research
August 8, 2017
4
Top Picks Report | August 2017
Stock Info
Siyaram Silk Mills
CMP
2,024
SSML has strong brands which cater to premium as well as popular mass
TP
2,500
segments of the market. Further, SSML entered the ladies' salwar kameez and
Upside
23.5%
ethnic wear segment. Going forward, we believe that the company would be able to
Sector
Textile
leverage its brand equity and continue to post strong performance.
Market Cap (` cr)
1,909
The company has a nationwide network of about 1,600 dealers and business
partners. It has a retail network of 160 stores and plans to add another
Beta
0.9
300-350 stores going forward. Further, the company's brands are sold across
52 Week High / Low
2,491/1,031
3,00,000 multi brand outlets in the country.
Going forward, we expect SSML to report a net sales CAGR of ~12% to
3 year-Chart
~`1,981cr and adj.net profit CAGR of ~16% to `123cr over FY2017-19E on
3,000
back of market leadership in blended fabrics, strong brand building, wide
2,500
distribution channel, strong presence in tier II and tier III cities and emphasis
on latest designs and affordable pricing points. At the current market price,
2,000
SSML trades at an inexpensive valuation. We have Buy recommendation on
1,500
the stock and target price of `2,500.
1,000
Key Financials
500
Y/E
Sales
OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/Sales
-
March
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2018E
1,769
12.7
106
113.1
15.4
21.1
3.2
11.3
1.4
FY2019E
1,981
12.7
123
131.1
15.5
18.0
2.8
9.9
1.3
Source: Company, Angel Research
Source: Company, Angel Research
Stock Info
Maruti Suzuki
CMP
7,756
The Automobile sector is expected to benefit from the GST implementation.
TP
8,544
The sector has seen a pick up in the volumes in FY17 as there were several
Upside
10.2 %
positive factors like normal monsoon and lower interest rates.
Sector
Automobiles
Maruti Suzuki continues to hold ~50% market share in the passenger vehicles.
Market Cap (` cr)
2,34,067
The launch of exciting models has helped the company to ride on the
premiumization wave that is happening in the country. In the last two years,
Beta
1.3
company has seen improvement in the business mix with the pie of the utility
52 Week High / Low
7,920/4,769
vehicles growing from ~4% to current 15%. With the 3-4 months of waiting
period on these models, strong demand and GST led price decrease; we
3 year-Chart
believe that this pie is expected to grow to ~20% in FY19E.
9,000
Due to the favorable business mix, company has also been seeing
8,000
improvement in the margins. Company has already moved from ~11-12%
7,000
6,000
EBITDA margin range to current ~14-15% margin ranges. Together with
5,000
higher operating leverage at Gujarat plant and improving business mix, we
4,000
believe that company has further room to improve its margins. We have an
3,000
accumulate rating on the stock with the price target of `8,544.
2,000
1,000
Key Financials
-
Y/E
Sales
OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/Sales
March
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
Source: Company, Angel Research
FY2018E
81,825
15.0
8,561
283.5
21.8
26.9
5.9
16.5
2.5
FY2019E
101,245
15.0
10,752 356.0
22.3
21.4
4.8
12.8
1.9
Source: Company, Angel Research
August 8, 2017
5
Top Picks Report | August 2017
Stock Info
TV Today Network
CMP
235
TTNL enjoys a strong viewership ranking in the Hindi and English news
TP
344
channel categories. The company’s Hindi news channel - Aaj Tak has
Upside
46.4%
maintained its market leadership position occupying the No.1 rank for several
Sector
Media
consecutive years in terms of viewership. Its English news channel - India
Today too has been continuously gaining viewership; it has now captured the
Market Cap (` cr)
1,405
No. 2 ranking from No. 4 earlier. Its other channels like Dilli Aaj Tak and Tez
Beta
0.7
are also popular among viewers.
52 Week High / Low
360 /248
Out of the 7 radio stations, TTNL has sold off 4 (Jodhpur, Amritsar, Patiala
and Shimla) for `4cr. The remaining 3 stations are in the process of getting
3 year-Chart
sold off to ENIL but the sale will have to wait until concerns raised by the MIB
400
are resolved. Going forward, we expect them to be sold off and this would
350
prop up the company’s profitability.
300
250
We expect TTNL to report a net revenue CAGR of ~9% to ~`727cr and net
200
profit CAGR of
~13% to
`121cr over FY2017-19E. We have a Buy
150
recommendation on the stock and target price of `344.
100
50
Key Financials
-
Y/E
Sales
OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/Sales
March
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2018E
667
23.1
111
18.6
15.6
12.6
2.0
5.9
1.6
Source: Company, Angel Research
FY2019E
727
23.2
121
20.1
17.3
11.7
2.0
5.5
1.5
Source: Company, Angel Research
Stock Info
Music Broadcast
CMP
350
Radio Industry is protected by licenses for 15 years, thereby restricting the entry
TP
434
of new players. This would support the existing companies to strengthen their
Upside
24.0%
position and maintain a healthy growth rate.
Sector
Media
It has grabbed the Number 1 position in Mumbai, Bengaluru and Delhi in
Market Cap (` cr)
2,009
terms of number of listener. This is helping MBL to charge premium rate,
which resulting into higher EBITDA margin (33.6%) compare to 22% of ENIL.
Beta
0.4
52 Week High / Low
420/332.9
MBL outperformed its closest peer with 18.4% CAGR in revenue over FY2013-
17 (ENIL reported 13.2% CAGR in revenue). On the profitability front too,
MBL, with 32.3% CAGR in PAT over FY2013-17, has performed much better
3 year-Chart
than ENIL (-5.2% CAGR in PAT). Moreover, Radio City posted a six year CAGR
390
of 12.1% v/s. 9.1% of industry owing to higher advertising volumes.
380
370
Capex for 39 licenses have been done for the next 15 years, hence no heavy
360
incremental Capex requirement would emerge. Moreover, the maintenance
350
Capex would be as low as `5-10cr. This would leave sufficient cash flow to
340
distribute as dividend. We have a Buy recommendation on the stock and
330
target price of `434.
320
310
Key Financials
Y/E
Sales
OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/Sales
March
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
Source: Company, Angel Research
FY2018E
317
34.4
56
9.8
9.3
35.8
3.3
16.7
5.7
FY2019E
372
34.9
80
14.0
12.0
25.1
3.0
13.5
4.7
Source: Company, Angel Research
August 8, 2017
6
Top Picks Report | August 2017
Stock Info
KEI Industries
CMP
225
KEI’s current order book (OB) stands at `3,233cr (segmental break-up:
TP
258
`2,154cr in EPC, `667cr in Cable, `200cr in EHV, `49cr in Substation, rest in
Upside
14.7%
EPC L1 business). Its OB grew by ~28% in the last 3 years due to strong order
inflows from State Electricity Boards, Power grid, etc.
Sector
Real Estate
Market Cap (` cr)
1,756
KEI’s consistent effort to increase its retail business from 30-32% of revenue in
FY17 to 40-45% of revenue in the next 2-3 years on the back of strengthening
Beta
0.9
distribution network (currently 926 which is expect to increase `1,500 by FY19)
52 Week High / Low
249 / 99
and higher ad spend (increased from `2cr in FY13 to `7cr in FY16 and
expected to spend).
3 year-Chart
KEI’s export (FY17 - 8-10% of revenue) is expected to reach a level of ~14-
300
15% in next two years with higher order execution from current OB of
250
~`180cr and participation in various international tenders worth `500cr. We
200
expect a strong ~26% growth CAGR over FY2017-19 in exports. We expect
150
KEI to report net revenue CAGR of ~14% to ~`3,392cr and net profit CAGR
of ~13% to `125cr over FY2017-19E. Hence we have an accumulate rating
100
on the stock.
50
Key Financials
-
Y/E
Sales
OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/Sales
March
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2018E
3,001
10.0
100
13.0
18.2
17.4
3.2
7.5
0.8
Source: Company, Angel Research
FY2018E
3,392
10.0
125
16.1
18.7
14.0
2.6
6.7
0.7
Source: Company, Angel Research
Stock Info
Mahindra Lifespace
CMP
421
MLF has 13 projects under implementation across cities. MLF has exhibited
TP
522
fast completion of projects compared to others. Sales cycle in ~65% of
Upside
24.0%
projects is faster than execution cycle, contrary to industry trends. This fast
Sector
Real Estate
execution and sales is optimal, as it helps MLF in revenue recognition,
Market Cap (` cr)
2,156
inventory cycle (better than Oberoi, DLF), cash flows and profitability.
Beta
0.9
MLF as of 4QFY2016 is pursuing ~4.0mn sq. ft. of sale of the total ~15.0mn
52 Week High / Low
493 / 319
sq. ft. of saleable area. Having sold ~60% of ongoing projects, we expect MLF
to launch ~2.8mn sq.ft. of saleable area in rational way during 4QFY2016-
3 year-Chart
2QFY2018E, across 6 cities. Maturity at existing projects, new launches give better
600
revenue visibility for medium-term. Further, MLF is sitting on land bank of 11.0mn
sq.ft across 4 cities, which allay any concern over long-term revenue growth.
500
400
In the longer-term organized, professionally run, well funded players would
300
enjoy strong trust due to their reliable and fast execution strategies. With
improvement in company’s fundamentals, strong earnings growth visibility
200
and long-term growth outlook, at current valuations of 1.0x FY2017E P/BV,
100
MLF looks attractive. We maintain Buy on MLF with target price of `522.
-
Key Financials
Y/E
Sales
OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/Sales
March
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
Source: Company, Angel Research
FY2017
1,152
22.7
75
29.9
7.6
14.5
1.0
12.0
2.2
FY2018E
1,300
24.6
138
35.8
8.6
12.1
9.0
8.8
1.7
Source: Company, Angel Research
August 8, 2017
7
Top Picks Report | August 2017
Stock Info
Navkar
CMP
188
NCL is one of the largest and one of the three CFS at JNPT with rail
TP
265
connectivity, helping it garner high market share at the port. NCL is in a massive
Upside
41.0%
expansion mode where it is increasing its capacity by 234% to 1,036,889 TEUs
Sector
Logistics
at JNPT and coming up with an ICD at Vapi (with Logistics Park).
Market Cap (` cr)
2,685
The ICD with rail link should benefit from first mover advantage in a region
Beta
0.8
that has huge market potential and accounts for ~27% of volumes at JNPT.
The ICD should be able to capture the EXIM volumes from the region through
52 Week High / Low
247 / 155
rail link that till now was being custom cleared at JNPT (Import) or being
transported via road and consolidated at JNPT (Export). South Gujarat
3 year-Chart
volumes will now head straight to the Vapi ICD; thus the company can now
250
cater to bulk commodities and domestic traffic that it had been rejecting owing
200
to capacity constraints at CFS.
150
We expect NCL to successfully use its rail advantage and scale up its
utilizations at both JNPT and Vapi ICD. We have a Buy rating on the stock.
100
50
Key Financials
Y/E
Sales
OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/Sales
-
March
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2018E
561
42.3
164
11.5
10.5
16.3
1.7
13.1
5.4
FY2019E
617
42.3
181
12.7
10.4
14.8
1.5
11.4
4.7
Source: Company, Angel Research
Source: Company, Angel Research
Stock Info
Alkem Leboratories
CMP
1,840
Alkem is 5th largest pharma company is the domestic market and also has
TP
2,161
presence in US. It derives 73% of its revenues come from the Indian markets
Upside
17.4%
while rest come from the other countries. Alkem has leadership position in the
domestic anti infective segment and it is ranked #3 in Gastro-Intestinal and
Sector
Pharmaceutical
Pain/Analgesics segments. Company holds ~3.6% and ~7.9% market share
Market Cap (` cr)
22,000
in the formulations and overall prescriptions in the country.
Beta
0.9
In the domestic market, company operates in acute and chronic segments. It is
52 Week High / Low
2,238 /1,400
a prominent player in acute segment has forayed in chronic segment from
which it expects faster growth. Alkem has been outperforming the domestic
3 year-Chart
industry growth which is likely to continue. Company is focusing on
2,500
monetization of its pipeline (91 ANDAs) in the US with annually ~7-8 ANDAs
launches growing the US revenues by ~26% growth rate from FY17-FY19E.
2,000
Overall outlook remains strong with 15.8% CAGR in the topline and 15.4%
1,500
CAGR in the bottom-line. We have Buy rating on the stock.
1,000
Key Financials
500
Y/E
Sales OPM
PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/Sales
-
March
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2018E
6,901
18.4
1,016
85.0
20.2
21.6
4.4
17.3
3.2
FY2019E
7,850
19.1
1,202
100.5
20.1
18.3
3.7
14.5
2.8
Source: Company, Angel Research
Source: Company, Angel Research
August 8, 2017
8
Top Picks Report | August 2017
Macro watch
Exhibit 1: Quarterly GDP trends
Exhibit 2: IIP trends
(%)
(%)
5.7
5.7
10.0
6.0
9.1
5.2
8.8
4.9
4.9
9.0
7.9
8.0
7.9
5.0
7.6
7.5
8.0
7.3
7.2
3.8
7.0
4.0
7.0
6.1
6.1
3.0
2.8
3.0
2.6
6.0
1.9
1.7
5.0
2.0
4.0
1.0
3.0
-
Source: CSO, Angel Research
Source: MOSPI, Angel Research
Exhibit 3: Monthly CPI inflation trends
Exhibit 4: Manufacturing and services PMI
56.0
Mfg. PMI
Services PMI
(%)
7.0
54.0
6.1
6.0
52.0
5.1
5.0
4.3
50.0
4.2
3.9
3.6
3.7
4.0
3.4
48.0
3.2
3.0
3.0
2.2
46.0
2.0
1.5
44.0
1.0
42.0
-
40.0
Source: MOSPI, Angel Research
Source: Market, Angel Research; Note: Level above 50 indicates expansion
Exhibit 5: Exports and imports growth trends
Exhibit 6: Key policy rates
(%)
Exports yoy growth
Imports yoy growth
(%)
Repo rate
Reverse Repo rate
CRR
60.0
7.00
50.0
6.50
40.0
6.00
30.0
5.50
20.0
5.00
10.0
4.50
0.0
4.00
(10.0)
3.50
(20.0)
(30.0)
3.00
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Source: RBI, Angel Research
August 8, 2017
9
Top Picks Report | August 2017
Global watch
Exhibit 8: Latest quarterly GDP Growth (%, yoy) across select developing and developed countries
(%)
8.0
6.9
7.0
5.6
6.0
5.3
5.0
5.0
1.0
4.0
3.3
2.9
3.0
2.1
1.7
1.8
0.5
2.0
1.3
1.0
-
(1.0)
(0.4)
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Exhibit 9: 2017 GDP Growth projection by IMF (%, yoy) across select developing and developed countries
(%)
7.2
6.6
7.0
6.0
5.1
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.0
3.0
2.3
2.0
1.4
1.6
2.0
1.4
1.2
0.2
0.8
1.0
-
Source: IMF, Angel Research
Exhibit 10: One year forward P-E ratio across select developing and developed countries
(x)
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
-
Source: IMF, Angel Research
August 8, 2017
10
Top Picks Report | August 2017
Exhibit 11: Relative performance of indices across globe
Returns (%)
Country
Name of index
Closing price
1M
3M
1YR
Brazil
Bovespa
67,940
8.8
3.7
19.0
Russia
Micex
1,970
2.5
(1.4)
0.7
India
Nifty
10,057
4.0
8.0
16.6
China
Shanghai Composite
3,279
1.6
6.2
9.3
South Africa
Top 40
49,764
8.2
5.7
9.3
Mexico
Mexbol
51,389
2.7
2.9
8.5
Indonesia
LQ45
955
(1.8)
1.0
6.6
Malaysia
KLCI
1,778
0.4
0.3
7.5
Thailand
SET 50
1,000
0.4
0.1
4.5
USA
Dow Jones
22,118
3.7
5.3
19.4
UK
FTSE
7,532
2.7
3.2
9.9
Japan
Nikkei
20,056
(0.1)
0.8
21.0
Germany
DAX
12,257
(1.0)
(3.4)
14.1
France
CAC
5,208
1.1
(3.5)
15.8
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
August 8, 2017
11
Top Picks Report | August 2017
Stock Watch
August 8, 2017
12
Top Picks Report
August 08, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY17E FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
Agri / Agri Chemical
Rallis
Reduce
239
209
4,651
1,937
2,164
13.3
14.3
9.0
11.0
26.6
21.7
4.6
4.0
18.4
19.8
2.4
2.1
United Phosphorus
Neutral
864
-
43,897
15,176
17,604
18.5
18.5
37.4
44.6
23.1
19.4
4.5
3.8
21.4
21.2
3.0
2.5
Auto & Auto Ancillary
Ashok Leyland
Neutral
112
-
32,792
20,019
22,789
11.1
11.7
4.3
5.5
26.1
20.5
5.1
4.5
19.4
22.0
1.6
1.4
Bajaj Auto
Neutral
2,914
-
84,316
25,093
27,891
19.5
19.2
143.9
162.5
20.3
17.9
5.7
4.9
30.3
29.4
3.1
2.7
Bharat Forge
Neutral
1,187
-
27,643
7,726
8,713
20.5
21.2
35.3
42.7
33.6
27.8
6.2
5.6
18.9
20.1
3.6
3.2
Eicher Motors
Neutral
32,121
-
87,440
16,583
20,447
17.5
18.0
598.0
745.2
53.7
43.1
18.4
14.0
41.2
38.3
5.1
4.1
Gabriel India
Neutral
164
-
2,362
1,544
1,715
9.0
9.3
5.4
6.3
30.5
26.1
5.8
5.1
18.9
19.5
1.5
1.3
Hero Motocorp
Neutral
3,913
-
78,135
28,120
30,753
15.2
15.6
169.1
189.2
23.1
20.7
8.0
6.7
30.8
28.2
2.6
2.3
Jamna Auto Industries Neutral
284
-
2,264
1,486
1,620
9.8
9.9
15.0
17.2
18.9
16.5
4.1
3.5
21.8
21.3
1.6
1.5
L G Balakrishnan & Bros Neutral
739
-
1,159
1,302
1,432
11.6
11.9
43.7
53.0
16.9
13.9
2.4
2.2
13.8
14.2
1.0
0.9
Mahindra and Mahindra Neutral
1,396
-
86,717
46,534
53,077
11.6
11.7
67.3
78.1
20.7
17.9
3.4
2.9
15.4
15.8
1.8
1.6
Maruti
Accumulate
7,756
8,495
234,307
67,822
83,717
15.2
15.0
243.0
291.5
31.9
26.6
7.3
6.0
22.9
22.4
3.1
2.5
Minda Industries
Neutral
775
-
6,694
2,728
3,042
9.0
9.1
68.2
86.2
11.4
9.0
2.6
2.0
23.8
24.3
2.5
2.2
Motherson Sumi
Neutral
336
-
70,660
45,896
53,687
7.8
8.3
13.0
16.1
25.7
20.9
8.3
6.6
34.7
35.4
1.6
1.4
Rane Brake Lining
Neutral
1,275
-
1,009
511
562
11.3
11.5
28.1
30.9
45.4
41.3
6.9
6.3
15.3
15.0
2.1
1.9
Setco Automotive
Neutral
38
-
512
741
837
13.0
13.0
15.2
17.0
2.5
2.3
0.4
0.4
15.8
16.3
1.1
1.0
Tata Motors
Neutral
430
-
124,271
300,209
338,549
8.9
8.4
42.7
54.3
10.1
7.9
1.6
1.4
15.6
17.2
0.5
0.5
TVS Motor
Neutral
596
-
28,291
13,390
15,948
6.9
7.1
12.8
16.5
46.7
36.0
11.6
9.2
26.3
27.2
2.2
1.8
Amara Raja Batteries
Buy
801
962
13,686
5,339
6,220
15.9
15.3
28.0
32.3
28.6
24.8
5.5
4.6
19.1
18.5
2.6
2.2
Exide Industries
Neutral
214
-
18,216
7,439
8,307
15.0
15.0
8.1
9.3
26.5
23.0
3.7
3.3
14.3
16.7
2.1
1.8
Apollo Tyres
Neutral
280
-
14,237
12,877
14,504
14.3
13.9
21.4
23.0
13.1
12.2
2.0
1.8
16.4
15.2
1.3
1.2
Ceat
Neutral
1,766
-
7,144
7,524
8,624
13.0
12.7
131.1
144.3
13.5
12.2
2.5
2.1
19.8
18.6
1.0
0.9
JK Tyres
Neutral
161
-
3,655
7,455
8,056
15.0
15.0
21.8
24.5
7.4
6.6
1.5
1.3
22.8
21.3
0.6
0.5
Swaraj Engines
Neutral
1,989
-
2,470
660
810
15.2
16.4
54.5
72.8
36.5
27.3
11.4
10.3
31.5
39.2
3.6
2.9
Subros
Neutral
239
-
1,434
1,488
1,681
11.7
11.9
6.4
7.2
37.4
33.4
3.9
3.6
10.8
11.4
1.2
1.0
Indag Rubber
Neutral
185
-
485
286
326
19.8
16.8
11.7
13.3
15.8
13.9
2.7
2.5
17.8
17.1
1.4
1.2
Capital Goods
ACE
Neutral
66
-
648
709
814
4.1
4.6
1.4
2.1
46.8
31.2
1.9
1.8
4.4
6.0
1.1
0.9
BEML
Neutral
1,695
-
7,059
3,451
4,055
6.3
9.2
31.4
57.9
54.0
29.3
3.2
2.9
6.3
10.9
2.2
1.8
Bharat Electronics
Neutral
182
-
40,641
8,137
9,169
16.8
17.2
58.7
62.5
3.1
2.9
0.5
0.4
44.6
46.3
4.0
3.6
www.angelbroking.com
Top Picks Report
August 08, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
Capital Goods
Voltas
Neutral
536
-
17,737
6,511
7,514
7.9
8.7
12.9
16.3
41.6
32.9
7.5
6.6
16.7
18.5
2.5
2.1
BGR Energy
Neutral
140
-
1,012
16,567
33,848
6.0
5.6
7.8
5.9
18.0
23.8
1.0
1.0
4.7
4.2
0.2
0.1
BHEL
Neutral
135
-
32,994
28,797
34,742
-
2.8
2.3
6.9
58.6
19.5
1.0
1.0
1.3
4.8
0.8
0.6
Blue Star
Accumulate
683
760
6,544
4,283
5,077
5.9
7.3
14.9
22.1
45.9
30.9
8.9
7.5
20.4
26.4
1.6
1.3
CG Power and Industrial
Neutral
78
-
4,857
5,777
6,120
5.9
7.0
3.3
4.5
23.5
17.2
1.0
1.0
4.4
5.9
0.8
0.7
Solutions
Greaves Cotton
Neutral
157
-
3,832
1,755
1,881
16.8
16.9
7.8
8.5
20.1
18.5
4.0
3.7
20.6
20.9
1.9
1.7
Inox Wind
Neutral
135
-
3,000
5,605
6,267
15.7
16.4
24.8
30.0
5.5
4.5
1.5
1.1
25.9
24.4
0.6
0.5
KEC International
Neutral
296
-
7,612
9,294
10,186
7.9
8.1
9.9
11.9
29.9
24.9
4.4
3.8
15.6
16.3
1.1
1.0
KEI Industries
Accumulate
225
258
1,750
2,633
3,001
10.4
10.0
12.7
13.0
17.7
17.3
3.8
3.1
21.4
18.2
0.9
0.8
Thermax
Neutral
901
-
10,736
5,421
5,940
7.3
7.3
25.7
30.2
35.1
29.8
4.2
3.9
12.2
13.1
1.9
1.7
VATech Wabag
Accumulate
641
681
3,500
3,136
3,845
8.9
9.1
26.0
35.9
24.7
17.9
3.1
2.6
13.4
15.9
1.0
0.8
Cement
ACC
Neutral
1,808
-
33,954
11,225
13,172
13.2
16.9
44.5
75.5
40.6
24.0
3.9
3.6
11.2
14.2
3.0
2.6
Ambuja Cements
Neutral
275
-
54,605
9,350
10,979
18.2
22.5
5.8
9.5
47.4
29.0
4.0
3.6
10.2
12.5
5.8
5.0
India Cements
Neutral
194
-
5,964
4,364
4,997
18.5
19.2
7.9
11.3
24.5
17.1
1.8
1.7
8.0
8.5
2.1
1.9
JK Cement
Neutral
1,033
-
7,220
4,398
5,173
15.5
17.5
31.2
55.5
33.1
18.6
4.0
3.4
12.0
15.5
2.2
1.8
J K Lakshmi Cement
Neutral
440
-
5,176
2,913
3,412
14.5
19.5
7.5
22.5
58.7
19.6
3.6
3.0
12.5
18.0
2.4
2.0
Orient Cement
Neutral
155
-
3,179
2,114
2,558
18.5
20.5
8.1
11.3
19.2
13.7
2.8
2.4
9.0
14.0
2.1
1.7
UltraTech Cement
Neutral
4,051
-
111,211
25,768
30,385
21.0
23.5
111.0
160.0
36.5
25.3
4.7
4.1
13.5
15.8
4.4
3.7
Construction
ITNL
Neutral
87
-
2,852
8,946
10,017
31.0
31.6
8.1
9.1
10.7
9.5
0.4
0.4
4.2
5.0
3.7
3.4
KNR Constructions
Neutral
208
-
2,928
1,385
1,673
14.7
14.0
41.2
48.5
5.1
4.3
0.9
0.8
14.9
15.2
2.2
1.8
Larsen & Toubro
Buy
1,171
1,700
163,946
111,017
124,908
11.0
11.0
61.1
66.7
19.2
17.6
2.3
2.1
13.1
12.9
2.5
2.3
Gujarat Pipavav Port
Neutral
141
-
6,821
705
788
52.2
51.7
5.0
5.6
28.2
25.2
2.8
2.5
11.2
11.2
9.3
7.9
Nagarjuna Const.
Neutral
89
-
4,956
8,842
9,775
9.1
8.8
5.3
6.4
16.8
13.9
1.3
1.2
8.2
9.1
0.7
0.6
PNC Infratech
Neutral
139
-
3,568
2,350
2,904
13.1
13.2
9.0
8.8
15.5
15.8
0.6
0.5
15.9
13.9
1.6
1.3
Simplex Infra
Neutral
467
-
2,309
6,829
7,954
10.5
10.5
31.4
37.4
14.9
12.5
1.5
1.4
9.9
13.4
0.8
0.6
Power Mech Projects
Neutral
576
-
847
1,801
2,219
12.7
14.6
72.1
113.9
8.0
5.1
1.5
1.2
16.8
11.9
0.5
0.4
Sadbhav Engineering
Neutral
289
-
4,958
3,598
4,140
10.3
10.6
9.0
11.9
32.1
24.3
3.4
3.0
9.9
11.9
1.7
1.4
NBCC
Neutral
213
-
19,125
7,428
9,549
7.9
8.6
8.2
11.0
25.9
19.3
1.3
1.0
28.2
28.7
2.3
1.7
MEP Infra
Neutral
119
-
1,931
1,877
1,943
30.6
29.8
3.0
4.2
39.6
28.3
19.2
12.9
0.6
0.6
2.4
2.2
www.angelbroking.com
Top Picks Report
August 08, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
Construction
SIPL
Neutral
102
-
3,579
1,036
1,252
65.5
66.2
(8.4)
(5.6)
3.8
4.3
(22.8)
(15.9)
11.7
9.7
Engineers India
Neutral
159
-
10,728
1,725
1,935
16.0
19.1
11.4
13.9
14.0
11.5
1.9
1.9
13.4
15.3
5.1
4.6
Financials
Axis Bank
Buy
499
580
119,691
46,932
53,575
3.5
3.4
32.4
44.6
15.4
11.2
2.0
1.7
13.6
16.5
-
-
Bank of Baroda
Neutral
157
-
36,083
19,980
23,178
1.8
1.8
11.5
17.3
13.6
9.1
1.6
1.3
8.3
10.1
-
-
Canara Bank
Neutral
346
-
20,693
15,225
16,836
1.8
1.8
14.5
28.0
23.9
12.4
1.7
1.3
5.8
8.5
-
-
Can Fin Homes
Neutral
2,922
-
7,777
420
526
3.5
3.5
86.5
107.8
33.8
27.1
7.3
6.0
23.6
24.1
-
-
Cholamandalam Inv. &
Neutral
1,202
-
18,792
2,012
2,317
6.3
6.3
42.7
53.6
28.2
22.4
4.5
3.8
16.9
18.3
-
-
Fin. Co.
Dewan Housing Finance Buy
449
550
14,074
2,225
2,688
2.9
2.9
29.7
34.6
15.1
13.0
2.4
1.6
16.1
14.8
-
-
Equitas Holdings
Buy
166
235
5,605
939
1,281
11.7
11.5
5.8
8.2
28.6
20.2
2.5
2.2
10.9
11.5
-
-
Federal Bank
Buy
112
140
21,840
8,259
8,995
3.0
3.0
4.3
5.6
26.1
20.1
2.2
2.0
8.5
10.1
-
-
HDFC
Neutral
1,721
-
274,073
11,475
13,450
3.4
3.4
45.3
52.5
38.0
32.8
7.3
6.5
20.2
20.5
-
-
HDFC Bank
Neutral
1,780
-
458,414
46,097
55,433
4.5
4.5
58.4
68.0
30.5
26.2
5.3
4.5
18.8
18.6
-
-
ICICI Bank
Accumulate
295
335
189,099
42,800
44,686
3.1
3.3
18.0
21.9
16.4
13.5
2.2
2.1
11.1
12.3
-
-
Karur Vysya Bank
Buy
137
160
8,264
5,640
6,030
3.3
3.2
8.9
10.0
15.4
13.7
1.6
1.5
11.2
11.4
-
-
Lakshmi Vilas Bank
Neutral
174
-
3,346
3,339
3,799
2.7
2.8
11.0
14.0
15.9
12.5
1.7
1.5
11.2
12.7
-
-
LIC Housing Finance
Neutral
680
-
34,322
3,712
4,293
2.6
2.5
39.0
46.0
17.4
14.8
3.3
2.8
19.9
20.1
-
-
Punjab Natl.Bank
Neutral
149
-
31,664
23,532
23,595
2.3
2.4
6.8
12.6
21.9
11.8
3.4
2.4
3.3
6.5
-
-
RBL Bank
Neutral
512
-
19,420
1,783
2,309
2.6
2.6
12.7
16.4
40.3
31.2
4.4
3.9
12.8
13.3
-
-
Repco Home Finance
Buy
691
825
4,321
388
457
4.5
4.2
30.0
38.0
23.0
18.2
3.8
3.2
18.0
19.2
-
-
South Ind.Bank
Neutral
29
-
5,140
6,435
7,578
2.5
2.5
2.7
3.1
10.6
9.2
1.4
1.1
10.1
11.2
-
-
St Bk of India
Accumulate
304
335
262,285
88,650
98,335
2.6
2.6
13.5
18.8
22.5
16.2
2.1
1.9
7.0
8.5
-
-
Union Bank
Neutral
143
-
9,796
13,450
14,925
2.3
2.3
25.5
34.5
5.6
4.1
0.8
0.7
7.5
10.2
-
-
Yes Bank
Neutral
1,763
-
80,695
8,978
11,281
3.3
3.4
74.0
90.0
23.8
19.6
4.5
3.8
17.0
17.2
-
-
FMCG
Akzo Nobel India
Neutral
1,805
-
8,656
2,955
3,309
13.3
13.7
57.2
69.3
31.6
26.0
10.3
8.7
32.7
33.3
2.7
2.4
Asian Paints
Neutral
1,146
-
109,891
17,128
18,978
16.8
16.4
19.1
20.7
60.0
55.4
20.9
19.7
34.8
35.5
6.3
5.7
Britannia
Neutral
4,071
-
48,875
9,594
11,011
14.6
14.9
80.3
94.0
50.7
43.3
20.8
16.1
41.2
-
5.0
4.3
Colgate
Neutral
1,066
-
28,992
4,605
5,149
23.4
23.4
23.8
26.9
44.8
39.6
24.8
19.4
64.8
66.8
6.2
5.5
Dabur India
Neutral
315
-
55,453
8,315
9,405
19.8
20.7
8.1
9.2
38.9
34.2
10.8
9.0
31.6
31.0
6.3
5.6
GlaxoSmith Con*
Neutral
5,505
-
23,153
4,350
4,823
21.2
21.4
179.2
196.5
30.7
28.0
8.2
6.9
27.1
26.8
4.7
4.2
www.angelbroking.com
Top Picks Report
August 08, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY17E FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FMCG
Godrej Consumer
Neutral
946
-
64,455
10,235
11,428
18.4
18.6
41.1
44.2
23.0
21.4
5.1
4.3
24.9
24.8
6.4
5.7
HUL
Neutral
1,186
-
256,760
35,252
38,495
17.8
17.8
20.7
22.4
57.5
53.0
54.9
47.1
95.6
88.9
7.1
6.5
ITC
Neutral
274
-
333,477
40,059
44,439
38.3
39.2
9.0
10.1
30.5
27.1
8.5
7.4
27.8
27.5
7.8
7.0
Marico
Neutral
334
-
43,037
6,430
7,349
18.8
19.5
6.4
7.7
52.1
43.3
15.7
13.2
33.2
32.5
6.5
5.6
Nestle*
Neutral
6,685
-
64,452
10,073
11,807
20.7
21.5
124.8
154.2
53.6
43.4
22.0
19.8
34.8
36.7
6.2
5.3
Tata Global
Neutral
166
-
10,477
8,675
9,088
9.8
9.8
7.4
8.2
22.4
20.2
1.8
1.7
7.9
8.1
1.1
1.1
Procter & Gamble
Neutral
8,075
-
26,212
2,939
3,342
23.2
23.0
146.2
163.7
55.2
49.3
14.0
11.6
25.3
23.5
8.5
7.4
Hygiene
IT
HCL Tech^
Accumulate
882
1,014
125,825
46,723
52,342
22.1
20.9
60.0
62.8
14.7
14.0
3.7
3.2
25.3
22.4
2.4
2.1
Infosys
Buy
965
1,179
221,563
68,484
73,963
26.0
26.0
63.0
64.0
15.3
15.1
3.2
3.0
20.8
19.7
2.9
2.6
TCS
Accumulate
2,498
2,651
492,174
117,966
127,403
27.5
27.6
134.3
144.5
18.6
17.3
5.5
5.1
29.8
29.7
3.8
3.6
Tech Mahindra
Buy
399
533
38,886
29,141
31,051
14.4
15.0
32.3
35.6
12.3
11.2
2.1
1.9
17.1
17.0
1.2
1.0
Wipro
Neutral
287
-
139,885
55,421
58,536
20.3
20.3
35.1
36.5
8.2
7.9
1.4
1.2
19.2
14.6
1.9
1.7
Media
D B Corp
Neutral
374
-
6,885
2,297
2,590
27.4
28.2
21.0
23.4
17.8
16.0
4.2
3.6
23.7
23.1
2.8
2.4
HT Media
Neutral
87
-
2,016
2,693
2,991
12.6
12.9
7.9
9.0
11.0
9.6
0.9
0.9
7.8
8.3
0.3
0.2
Jagran Prakashan
Buy
179
225
5,857
2,283
2,555
28.0
28.0
10.6
12.3
16.9
14.6
3.6
3.1
21.4
21.4
2.6
2.3
Sun TV Network
Neutral
727
-
28,630
2,850
3,265
70.1
71.0
26.2
30.4
27.7
23.9
7.1
6.3
24.3
25.6
9.6
8.3
Hindustan Media
Neutral
270
-
1,982
1,016
1,138
24.3
25.2
27.3
30.1
9.9
9.0
1.9
1.7
16.2
15.8
1.3
1.1
Ventures
TV Today Network
Buy
235
344
1,400
608
667
21.5
22.3
15.7
19.2
15.0
12.2
2.3
2.0
16.1
16.0
1.9
1.6
Music Broadcast Limited Buy
350
434
1,997
271
317
91.0
109.0
6.0
10.0
58.3
35.0
3.6
3.3
6.5
9.3
7.0
5.7
Metals & Mining
Coal India
Neutral
245
-
151,833
84,638
94,297
21.4
22.3
24.5
27.1
10.0
9.0
4.2
4.0
42.6
46.0
1.3
1.2
Hind. Zinc
Neutral
285
-
120,253
14,252
18,465
55.9
48.3
15.8
21.5
18.0
13.2
2.9
2.6
17.0
20.7
8.4
6.5
Hindalco
Neutral
235
-
52,733
107,899
112,095
7.4
8.2
9.2
13.0
25.6
18.1
1.2
1.2
4.8
6.6
1.0
0.9
JSW Steel
Neutral
231
-
55,802
53,201
58,779
16.1
16.2
130.6
153.7
1.8
1.5
0.2
0.2
14.0
14.4
1.8
1.6
NMDC
Neutral
127
-
40,324
6,643
7,284
44.4
47.7
7.1
7.7
18.0
16.6
1.6
1.5
8.8
9.2
3.8
3.5
SAIL
Neutral
63
-
25,999
47,528
53,738
(0.7)
2.1
(1.9)
2.6
24.2
0.7
0.7
(1.6)
3.9
1.4
1.3
Vedanta
Neutral
298
-
110,661
71,744
81,944
19.2
21.7
13.4
20.1
22.2
14.8
1.9
1.7
8.4
11.3
1.9
1.6
Tata Steel
Neutral
616
-
59,803
121,374
121,856
7.2
8.4
18.6
34.3
33.1
18.0
2.1
1.9
6.1
10.1
1.1
1.1
Oil & Gas
GAIL
Neutral
387
-
65,403
56,220
65,198
9.3
10.1
27.1
33.3
14.3
11.6
1.3
1.2
9.3
10.7
1.4
1.1
ONGC
Neutral
164
-
210,401
137,222
152,563
15.0
21.8
19.5
24.1
8.4
6.8
0.7
0.7
8.5
10.1
1.8
1.6
www.angelbroking.com
Top Picks Report
August 08, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY17E FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
Oil & Gas
Indian Oil Corp
Neutral
413
-
200,670
373,359
428,656
5.9
5.5
54.0
59.3
7.7
7.0
1.2
1.1
16.0
15.6
0.7
0.6
Reliance Industries
Neutral
1,603
-
521,383
301,963
358,039
12.1
12.6
87.7
101.7
18.3
15.8
1.9
1.7
10.7
11.3
2.2
1.8
Pharmaceuticals
Alembic Pharma
Accumulate
531
600
10,010
3,101
3,966
19.7
20.5
21.4
25.5
24.8
20.8
5.3
4.3
23.0
22.8
3.2
2.4
Alkem Laboratories Ltd
Buy
1,840
2,161
22,000
5,853
6,901
17.1
18.4
74.6
85.0
24.7
21.7
5.2
4.4
21.1
20.2
3.7
3.2
Aurobindo Pharma
Accumulate
727
823
42,567
14,845
17,086
21.5
22.1
39.4
44.7
18.4
16.3
4.5
3.6
27.6
24.7
3.0
2.6
Aventis*
Neutral
4,225
-
9,730
2,206
2,508
16.6
16.8
128.9
139.9
32.8
30.2
5.6
4.4
21.6
23.5
4.2
3.5
Cadila Healthcare
Sell
530
450
54,274
9,220
11,584
18.4
20.3
14.5
18.7
36.6
28.4
7.8
6.3
23.5
24.6
6.2
4.8
Cipla
Sell
578
461
46,530
14,281
16,619
15.4
16.2
12.5
19.7
46.3
29.4
3.7
3.3
8.4
12.0
3.4
2.9
Dr Reddy's
Neutral
2,102
-
34,837
14,081
15,937
16.1
18.6
72.6
105.9
29.0
19.9
2.8
2.6
9.6
13.6
2.7
2.4
Dishman Pharma
Sell
143
1,718
1,890
22.7
22.8
9.5
11.3
10.1
10.9
3.3
2.9
GSK Pharma*
Neutral
2,381
-
20,167
2,927
3,290
11.8
16.2
34.4
49.6
69.2
48.0
10.1
10.4
13.9
21.3
6.7
6.0
Indoco Remedies
Sell
199
153
1,831
1,067
1,154
12.1
14.9
8.4
11.3
23.7
17.6
2.8
2.5
12.6
15.0
1.9
1.8
Ipca labs
Buy
456
620
5,751
3,211
3,593
13.9
14.5
15.4
19.4
29.6
23.5
2.3
2.1
8.2
9.5
1.9
1.7
Lupin
Buy
974
1,467
44,021
17,120
18,657
24.1
24.1
56.9
61.1
17.1
16.0
3.2
2.7
20.7
18.6
2.9
2.3
Natco Pharma
Accumulate
924
1,060
16,100
2,065
1,988
33.1
33.7
27.9
25.7
33.1
35.9
9.7
8.2
29.2
22.9
7.9
8.0
Sun Pharma
Buy
500
712
120,058
30,264
32,899
29.0
26.9
32.7
31.6
15.3
15.8
3.3
2.8
22.2
18.7
3.7
3.3
Power
Tata Power
Neutral
78
-
21,165
36,916
39,557
17.4
27.1
5.1
6.3
15.3
12.4
1.4
1.2
9.0
10.3
1.6
1.4
NTPC
Neutral
171
-
141,327
86,605
95,545
17.5
20.8
11.8
13.4
14.5
12.8
1.5
1.4
10.5
11.1
3.0
3.0
Power Grid
Neutral
222
-
116,246
25,315
29,193
88.2
88.7
14.2
17.2
15.7
13.0
2.4
2.1
15.2
16.1
9.2
8.3
Real Estate
Prestige Estate
Neutral
263
-
9,866
4,707
5,105
25.2
26.0
10.3
13.0
25.5
20.2
2.1
1.9
10.3
10.2
3.3
2.9
MLIFE
Buy
421
522
2,160
1,152
1,300
22.7
24.6
29.9
35.8
14.1
11.8
1.0
1.0
7.6
8.6
2.6
2.2
Telecom
Bharti Airtel
Neutral
418
-
167,091
105,086
114,808
34.5
34.7
12.2
16.4
34.3
25.5
2.3
2.2
6.8
8.4
2.5
2.2
Idea Cellular
Neutral
92
-
33,127
40,133
43,731
37.2
37.1
6.4
6.5
14.4
14.1
1.2
1.1
8.2
7.6
1.8
1.6
zOthers
Abbott India
Neutral
4,376
-
9,298
3,153
3,583
14.1
14.4
152.2
182.7
28.8
24.0
141.2
120.6
25.6
26.1
2.7
2.3
Asian Granito
Buy
409
480
1,230
1,066
1,169
11.6
12.5
13.0
16.0
31.5
25.6
3.1
2.7
9.5
10.7
1.5
1.3
Bajaj Electricals
Buy
330
395
3,350
4,801
5,351
5.7
6.2
10.4
13.7
31.7
24.1
3.9
3.5
12.4
14.5
0.7
0.6
Banco Products (India)
Neutral
225
-
1,608
1,353
1,471
12.3
12.4
14.5
16.3
15.5
13.8
21.4
19.3
14.5
14.6
1.1
121.4
Coffee Day Enterprises
Neutral
243
-
5,000
2,964
3,260
20.5
21.2
4.7
8.0
-
30.3
2.8
2.6
5.5
8.5
2.1
1.9
Ltd
Competent Automobiles Neutral
203
-
130
1,137
1,256
3.1
2.7
28.0
23.6
7.3
8.6
39.1
35.4
14.3
11.5
0.1
0.1
www.angelbroking.com
Top Picks Report
August 08, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
zOthers
Elecon Engineering
Neutral
49
-
548
1,482
1,660
13.7
14.5
3.9
5.8
12.5
8.4
2.9
2.7
7.8
10.9
0.7
0.6
Finolex Cables
Neutral
490
-
7,489
2,883
3,115
12.0
12.1
14.2
18.6
34.5
26.3
18.3
16.0
15.8
14.6
2.3
2.1
Garware Wall Ropes
Neutral
900
-
1,970
863
928
15.1
15.2
36.4
39.4
24.7
22.9
4.5
3.8
17.5
15.9
2.2
2.0
Goodyear India*
Neutral
871
-
2,010
1,598
1,704
10.4
10.2
49.4
52.6
17.6
16.6
81.4
71.4
18.2
17.0
0.9
134.3
Hitachi
Neutral
2,030
-
5,521
2,081
2,433
8.8
8.9
33.4
39.9
60.8
50.9
49.0
40.9
22.1
21.4
2.6
2.2
HSIL
Neutral
363
-
2,623
2,384
2,515
15.8
16.3
15.3
19.4
23.7
18.7
23.6
20.3
7.8
9.3
1.3
1.2
Interglobe Aviation
Neutral
1,296
-
46,856
21,122
26,005
14.5
27.6
110.7
132.1
11.7
9.8
70.0
50.0
168.5
201.1
2.2
1.7
Jyothy Laboratories
Neutral
382
-
6,934
1,440
2,052
11.5
13.0
8.5
10.0
44.9
38.2
10.9
10.1
18.6
19.3
5.1
3.6
Kirloskar Engines India
Neutral
395
-
5,712
2,554
2,800
9.9
10.0
10.5
12.1
37.6
32.6
15.7
14.9
10.7
11.7
1.9
1.7
Ltd
Linc Pen & Plastics
Neutral
259
-
383
382
420
9.3
9.5
13.5
15.7
19.2
16.5
3.3
2.9
17.1
17.3
1.1
1.0
M M Forgings
Neutral
595
-
718
546
608
20.4
20.7
41.3
48.7
14.4
12.2
81.5
72.1
16.6
17.0
1.2
1.0
Manpasand Bever.
Neutral
774
-
4,426
836
1,087
19.6
19.4
16.9
23.8
45.8
32.5
5.5
4.8
12.0
14.8
5.0
3.8
Mirza International
Neutral
155
-
1,868
963
1,069
17.2
18.0
6.1
7.5
25.3
20.7
3.9
3.3
15.0
15.7
2.2
1.9
MT Educare
Neutral
65
-
260
366
417
17.7
18.2
9.4
10.8
7.0
6.0
1.5
1.3
22.2
22.3
0.6
0.5
Narayana Hrudaya
Neutral
301
-
6,147
1,873
2,166
11.5
11.7
2.6
4.0
113.7
75.9
7.0
6.3
6.1
8.3
3.4
2.9
Navkar Corporation
Buy
188
265
2,685
347
371
43.2
37.3
6.7
6.0
28.2
31.4
1.9
1.7
6.2
10.6
8.9
8.3
Navneet Education
Neutral
162
-
3,774
1,062
1,147
24.0
24.0
6.1
6.6
26.5
24.4
5.5
4.8
20.6
19.8
3.6
3.4
Nilkamal
Neutral
1,679
-
2,506
1,995
2,165
10.7
10.4
69.8
80.6
24.1
20.8
96.0
83.3
16.6
16.5
1.3
1.1
Page Industries
Neutral
16,227
-
18,099
2,450
3,124
20.1
17.6
299.0
310.0
54.3
52.3
361.4
275.9
47.1
87.5
7.4
5.9
Parag Milk Foods
Neutral
247
-
2,074
1,919
2,231
9.3
9.6
9.5
12.9
26.1
19.1
4.1
3.3
15.5
17.5
1.2
1.1
Quick Heal
Neutral
209
-
1,465
408
495
27.3
27.0
7.7
8.8
27.0
23.7
2.5
2.5
9.3
10.6
2.7
2.3
Radico Khaitan
Neutral
148
-
1,965
1,667
1,824
13.0
13.2
6.7
8.2
22.2
18.0
2.0
1.8
9.0
10.2
1.6
1.4
Relaxo Footwears
Neutral
497
-
5,974
2,085
2,469
9.2
8.2
7.6
8.0
65.8
62.6
25.5
21.8
17.9
18.8
3.0
2.5
S H Kelkar & Co.
Neutral
260
-
3,754
1,036
1,160
15.1
15.0
6.1
7.2
42.5
36.2
4.5
4.2
10.7
11.5
3.5
3.1
Siyaram Silk Mills
Buy
2,024
2,500
1,897
1,574
1,769
12.5
12.7
97.1
113.1
20.8
17.9
3.2
2.8
15.4
15.5
1.4
1.3
Styrolution ABS India*
Neutral
975
-
1,715
1,440
1,537
9.2
9.0
40.6
42.6
24.0
22.9
61.3
55.8
12.3
11.6
1.2
1.0
Surya Roshni
Neutral
271
-
1,187
3,342
3,625
7.8
7.5
17.3
19.8
15.7
13.7
29.8
23.9
10.5
10.8
0.6
0.6
Team Lease Serv.
Neutral
1,423
-
2,432
3,229
4,001
1.5
1.8
22.8
32.8
62.5
43.3
6.7
5.8
10.7
13.4
0.7
0.5
The Byke Hospitality
Neutral
197
-
790
287
384
20.5
20.5
7.6
10.7
25.9
18.4
5.4
4.4
20.7
23.5
2.8
2.1
www.angelbroking.com
Top Picks Report
August 08, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY17E FY18E FY17E FY18E FY17E FY18E FY17E FY18E FY17E FY18E FY17E FY18E FY17E FY18E
zOthers
Transport Corporation of
Neutral
291
-
2,229
2,671
2,911
8.5
8.8
13.9
15.7
21.0
18.6
2.9
2.6
13.7
13.8
0.9
0.9
India
TVS Srichakra
Neutral
3,536
-
2,708
2,304
2,614
13.7
13.8
231.1
266.6
15.3
13.3
397.4
312.9
33.9
29.3
1.2
1.0
UFO Moviez
Neutral
363
-
1,002
619
685
33.2
33.4
30.0
34.9
12.1
10.4
1.7
1.5
13.8
13.9
1.3
1.0
Visaka Industries
Neutral
475
-
754
1,051
1,138
10.3
10.4
21.0
23.1
22.6
20.5
60.9
57.0
9.0
9.2
1.0
0.9
VRL Logistics
Neutral
344
-
3,135
1,902
2,119
16.7
16.6
14.6
16.8
23.6
20.4
5.2
4.5
21.9
22.2
1.8
1.6
VIP Industries
Accumulate
192
218
2,711
1,270
1,450
10.4
10.4
5.6
6.5
34.3
29.5
7.1
6.2
20.7
21.1
2.1
1.9
Navin Fluorine
Neutral
725
-
3,570
789
945
21.1
22.4
24.0
28.7
30.2
25.3
4.9
4.2
17.8
18.5
4.5
3.6
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on August 08, 2017
www.angelbroking.com
Top Picks Report | August 2017
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800
E-mail: [email protected]
Website: www.angelbroking.com
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offering of securities of the company covered by Analyst during the past twelve months.
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should
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Ratings (Based on expected returns
Buy (> 15%)
Accumulate (5% to 15%)
Neutral (-5 to 5%)
over 12 months investment period):
Reduce (-5% to -15%)
Sell (< -15)