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Hero MotoCorp Ltd Research Report - 28th Oct 2016

Automobile | Published on Oct 28th 2016

IT

We believe that HMCL volumes are expected to see further growth this year owing to the improved consumer sentiment. HMCL is expected to emerge as a strong beneficiary of the recovery in the rural economy as it has a strong presence in the rural region. Company holds more than 50% market share in the overall 2W industry which will also benefit the company further. Company indicated some cost pressure going ahead as commodity prices have started to move up. However, overall profitability is expected to increase over higher sales volumes. We have estimated double digit volume growth (~10%) in remainder of FY2017E and in FY2018E. We also forecast slightly higher RM costs in our model to accommodate higher input costs. The stock is currently valued at15.9x of FY2018E EPS. We value stock at 17.0x of its FY2018E EPS considering current momentum of growth and earnings. We rate HMCL as “Accumulate” with a price target of Rs3,541 implying 7% upside.

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Sell

CMP 3,314
Target Price 3,541
Investment Period12 Months

Stock Info

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Shareholding Pattern (%)

Foreign43.0
Promoter35.0
Institution12.0
Public & Others7.0
Corporate3.0
Grand Total100.0

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