It all started in the year 2002 with the US lowering its interest rates fearing
the slowdown of their economy. To be in line with the world, India also lowered
its interest rates, thereby initiating a new consumption cycle. This had a cascading
effect on all sectors: commodities, agriculture, infrastructure, banking, auto and
auto ancillary, IT and IT enabled services.
The stupendous growth trajectory achieved in the past 4 years was due to sound government
fiscal policies which assisted in giving a fillip to the Indian economy.
- Indian economy has been growing at 7-8% over the last few years and is not only
expected to recover soon but also maintain a high trajectory for a long time to
- Financial sector leading from the front with growth rates much higher
- Demat accounts growing @ 20% CAGR over the last few years.
equity penetration is still very low: 116cr population*, 17cr PAN* card holders,
only 1.47cr Demat accounts*.
- Historically, Equity (@ 15% CAGR) as an asset class
outperforms all others.
“Historically, the Sensex has been growing at a compounded rate of 17% per annum.”
- Fiscal stimulus and RBIs Monetary Policy will put economy on strong growth path.
Interest rates on a decline, equities expected to gain from this.
- Indian economy
expected to bounce back by year end.
- Corporate earnings to improve in the second
half of the current financial year.